June 22, 2006

Surprise! Global Warming is real!

From CNN today:

The National Academy of Sciences, reaching that conclusion in a broad review of scientific work requested by Congress, reported Thursday that the "recent warmth is unprecedented for at least the last 400 years and potentially the last several millennia."

A panel of top climate scientists told lawmakers that the Earth is running a fever and that "human activities are responsible for much of the recent warming." Their 155-page report said average global surface temperatures in the Northern Hemisphere rose about 1 degree during the 20th century.

The report was requested in November by the chairman of the House Science Committee, Rep. Sherwood Boehlert, R-New York, to address naysayers who question whether global warming is a major threat.

Surprise! I can't wait to see what kind of Lysenkoist nonsense the Bush administration will counter with. Maybe they can run on a pro-Global Warming as well as a pro war platform for the mid term elections.

March 20, 2006

Bruce Sterling's 2006 SXSW Panel

The kind folks over at SXSW are hosting a podcast of Bruce Sterling's State of the World keynote. It's a classic Sterling rant that focuses on the opposing forces of the emerging Bright Green Future and the Grim Meathook Future. Somewhere in between he talks about Spimes, Web 2.0, life in Eastern Europe and the recklessness and failure of our current administration and their science policy.

February 03, 2006

Newer Orleans

The Netherlands Architecture Institute together with Tulane's Architecture School and Artforum International asked six architectural practices from Holland and the USA to develop "visions for symbolic and shared spaces for the New Orleans metropolitan area". The invited firms include MVRDV and West 8, two very adventurous and visionary offices.The work is currently on display in the Netherlands and there have been debates organized by the NAI and Artforum in Rotterdam and New York on water management and other relevant issues. It's great that innovative firms like these are thinking about our problems. I'd really like to see the work.

January 27, 2006

50 Books for Thinking about the Future

The Rand Pardee Center for Longer Range Global Policy and the Future Human Condition has selected a really well-rounded and relevant list of books about the future. This is a great primer for anyone who wants to extrapolate factors that are likely to impact our culture and humanity at large in the coming years.

The intent of the list is twofold. The first intent is to act as a reading list for someone who wants to understand at a more-than-passing level the factors that we can say seem to be most pertinent today in thinking about the longer-range human condition. I would hope that anyone who had read all 50 of these books would have a good feel for history, for how to think about the future, for the kinds of trends that are likely to have a serious impact on the future, and for the kind of surprises that might befall us as we move into that future.

October 19, 2005

Optimistic Futurism

Tim O'Reilly, David Brooks, Esther Dyson, Malcolm Gladwell, Moby, Mark Dery and Clay Shirky recently sat down with Time Magazine for a roundtable discussion on how current trends in technology, politics and religion will influence the future. Here's my favorite part:

IS THE AMERICAN LANDSCAPE READY FOR CHANGE?

BROOKS: In the United States, we've seen the intense power of partisanship. I think it may have crested, but we're left with this intense polarization--think Red Sox vs. Yankees--where team spirit supplants philosophy. I really don't know what a conservative or liberal is. But I do know what a Republican or Democrat is. Still, I think this phase of intense polarization is ebbing. If you look at the polls over the past year, you see people flaking off from the Republican side--not going over to the Democratic side but being dislodged and just sitting there in the middle.

October 04, 2005

Dutch Amphibious Houses

Houyel00

These Dutch amphibious houses are magnificent. This is the kind of visionary architecture we should be embracing in New Orleans. We need innovative design solutions in order to survive future storms. The thing I respect most about the Dutch is that they have fully embraced design as a matter of survival. New Orleans must do likewise.

September 30, 2005

Politics is About Emergencies: Thoughts on the Dutch Sustainable Conference

Overall I got a lot out of the conference. Hearing the Dutch designers, planners and engineers gave me great hope for the future of humanity and lots of ideas for New Orleans. I also met many contacts including an architect and engineer from New Orleans who were both there with the same idea as me to listen, learn and meet like minded folks. Both have expressed interest in joining the cause and opening up a greater coalition.

I learned that we will need to either work on reforming the way the corps is run in regards to seawall/levee construction, planning, etc. or focus entirely on urban planning/design/building. I think it's going to have to be the latter. It's an achievable goal and we can work on a number of other areas that are connected like housing for the poor, education, mass transit, bike paths, parks, etc. It's the whole kit and kaboodle really.

The main thing that I learned though is that this crisis will indeed bring about massive change in the City of New Orleans. As Annemieke Nijhof says, "Politics is about Emergencies". The pressure and activism from the greater design/architecture community will be strong. If we can combine it with the new passion coming through the community right now we will get great things accomplished. I'm exicted for the coming months as we get this org rolling and build definitive ideas and arguments for what the masterplan of the city should look like.

Dutch Symposium Notes

This is a very lengthy post in which I post all of my notes/observations from the Sustainable Dutch Symposium.

Continue reading "Dutch Symposium Notes" »

September 05, 2005

Visions of a New New Orleans

World Changing has an exciting essay on the possibility of an innovative rebuild of New Orleans. Please pass this along wherever you can. This kind of radical rethinking is the only way that we will get our city back to where it belongs as an esteemed metropolitan jewel for all to enjoy.

Here are the cliff notes for the attention disabled:

What needs to happen in order to build an economically viable, socially progressive and environmentally sound New Orleans?

The end of fatalism. People have to get optimistic about the city again. This seems especially challenging right now. I'm optimistic right now, which won't be surprising to anyone who knows me but other less New Orleans obsessive folks may give up wholesale on the city. I think we can rebuild a better city but we need everyone's support to do it.

The worst has already happened. Our city, like a terribly addicted alcoholic, has hit rock bottom. There's no place to go but up from here. We have a rare opportunity to rebuild EVERY aspect of our city from the ground up.


Principles for Rebuilding a Bright, Green, Safe New Orleans:

1. Work with nature, and technology, to protect the city from future worst-case scenarios
If there is to be a New Orleans, it must be first and foremost be made completely safe from flooding in any conceivable worst-case scenario. If it cannot withstand a Category 5 hurricane churning straight up the mouth of the Mississippi, few will dare to live there.

Is such a thing possible? The short answer is: it must be. But it will require assembling the smartest engineering minds on the planet. That is why the rebuilding effort should call in the Dutch.

There is no one in the world smarter at managing land and water than the water engineers of the Netherlands. They have a thousand years of cumulative experience. New Orleans' famous pumps, which worked adequately for many years, were actually of Dutch design, and early on in the Top 10 by 2010 process, I brought in a leading Dutch economist to try to strengthen the bonds between these geographically and even somewhat culturally similar regions. (It is not hard to think of New Orleans and Amsterdam in the same sentence.)

2. Use rebuilding to lift the poor to safer economic and social ground

t is a bitter thing to view the photographs and videos of the refugees left behind in New Orleans, and to see that most of them were obviously poor and black. An anonymous email from a rescue worker noted that those who did not evacuate were those who could not afford to evacuate: those who had no private car, no resources, no people to turn to. Katrina was not alone in her killing; her accomplice was terrible poverty. That poverty turned the city into a living hell of random shootings and suffering for the refugees still trapped there, days after the storm.

A New New Orleans must be a city dedicated to the genuine well-being of all her citizens. Poverty had been reduced in the 1990s; but pockets of terrible, entrenched poverty were still far too common in that city prior to its deluge. Those pockets are the one thing that must not be restored; instead, the city must charge into rebuilding with an eye to reducing poverty drastically, by reducing the conditions that create it. The now-destroyed, once-crumbling houses in the 9th Ward (the poorest section of the city) must be replaced with decent, modern, and yes green housing (see below). The people who live in New Orleans must be employed in rebuilding it, thereby gaining marketable skills in the process.

3. Create an economy of creativity
Another surprising finding of our initial research for Top 10 by 2010 was the lack of significant strategic contact between the region's economic development efforts and the arts community. New Orleans is known around the world for its music, food, and cultural life generally; but as in most US cities, artists and arts organizations had not been brought into serious discussions about the future of the region, until Top 10 by 2010 invited them. (This was also true of its environmental advocates, who had been trying, in measured tones, to awaken the leadership to the dangers of coastal erosion and storm threat.)

New economic visioning processes had, after Top 10 by 2010, resulted in the inclusion of arts and environment leaders in economic strategic planning. This is a trend that must be sharply strengthened. New Orleans cannot hope to revive as simply "a place to do business." It must again become something special, something truly wonderful; and that means embracing creativity in all its forms, with a passionate ferocity. It means envisioning the city as a whole as a work of art -- one that cannot be restored exactly as it was, but that can be recreated.

4. Become a clean, green showcase
Recreating a beautiful, vibrant, successful city will require a new environmental ethic as well. The environmental problems that plagued city in advance of the storm -- including exposure to toxic chemicals and even simple litter -- had already caused at least one major company to decide not to move there. The environmental damage caused by the storm and the flooding is now incomprehensible. The rebuilding process offers a once-in-lifetime opportunity to clean up the city, in every way imaginable.

But cleaning up the now-magnified problems is just a small piece of what can, and I believe must, be envisioned. Currently the City of New Orleans exists, in part, to service the oil and gas production and distribution infrastructure that now lies in tatters in the Gulf of Mexico. It is likely inevitable that this infrastructure will also be rebuilt -- massive economic and security interests will see to that.

But it would be nothing short of criminal to rebuild the city of New Orleans and not aspire to run the place on renewable energy. The sun shines mercilessly there; solar panels need big markets to push their development curve up and prices down; and so New Orleans (not to mention its sister cities like Biloxi or Mobile, also terribly affected by this storm) could provide a tremendous opportunity to spur the nation's energy independence.

New Orleans could become a living laboratory for solar roofs, mini hydro generators, architecture that creates cool buildings without air conditioning, electric and fuel cell vehicles ... the whole list of green dreams for technically sustainable world. These could become the basis of new industries to replace the gas and oil revenues, and be partly financed by them, as well as by the general reconstruction funds that are already on their way.

5. Dare to dream

These are days of despair and sorrow for the great City of New Orleans. Those days will not end soon. And as anyone who has weathered the death of loved ones or the loss of a home knows, there is no way out of grief except through it.

But what pulls us through grief is the knowledge that, while what is permanently lost cannot be restored, new things can be created.

The people of New Orleans and the surrounding Gulf region will need tremendous amounts of practical help, money, and psychological support to come through this. But they will also need dreams -- and not just their own.

It takes courage to dream in the face of catastrophe. And courage often comes from being encouraged, with the thoughts, wishes, hopes, words, and yes, the dreams of others. We can all contribute to the recreation of New Orleans. We can all dream for her, and help her residents to dream. They have now lived through a nightmare -- one that many feared would one day become reality, and has. We can all now help her to dream a beautiful dream of recovery, restoration, and renewal, and to make that dream become real as well -- for herself, and for the world.

December 16, 2004

Sterling Design Lecture

Here’s a video of Bruce Sterling lecturing on the future of industrial design at the Ludwig-Maximilians-Universität in Muenchen. He pays special attention to RFID chips, local and global positioning systems, powerful search engines, 3d modeling, rapid prototyping and cradle to cradle, zero emissions manufacturing. He sees all of these as convergent trends that will revolutionize design and manufacturing by giving objects an identity and creating an "internet of things".

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